Events in Ukraine over the last 24 hours have been utterly barbaric. Bad even by the standards of this horrendous war.
Multiple Iranian drones and North Korean missiles laden with explosives brought carnage to swathes of the country, killing yet more civilians.
This was Russia’s answer to President Donald Trump’s peace plan and ultimatum. Normally, strangely reluctant to criticise Russia, even Trump was moved to implore Vladimir Putin to “STOP”.
Ukraine latest – Trump unhappy with Putin
Ukrainian personnel clear rubble after a Russian ballistic missile attack in Kyiv. Pic: AP
A woman is helped after an apartment building was hit by a Russian ballistic missile strike. Pic: Reuters
A Ukrainian serviceman carries a dog out of a house damaged by a Russian airstrike in Kyiv. Pic: AP
But in truth, throughout Trump’s Ukraine peace process – if it can be called that – most of America’s pressure has been on Ukraine.
The peace plan that has emerged from direct US talks, which were mainly with Russia, is one-sided, and to Ukraine and its European partners, it is a surrender plan which is impossible for Ukraine to accept.
Even Russia’s supporter in this war, China, has problems with it, in particular with America’s proposal that Russia is rewarded for its invasion with sovereignty of Crimea.
Far from heading towards a peace deal, we are now, it seems, careering towards a crunch point that could see America give up on Ukraine completely, possibly blaming Kyiv for failure and renewing relations with Moscow.
Might will be proven right, and Vladimir Putin will be emboldened to do it all over again in a few years, possibly against other countries too. That is the fear in chancelleries across Europe.
There are two key questions now.
‘Russia is winning peace talks’
A drone explosion over Kyiv. Pic: Reuters
Does Trump mean he will walk away from trying to broker peace or supporting Ukraine entirely?
And if he does, can Ukraine carry on without US help?
European nations have said they will carry on supporting Ukraine. They see its survival and victory as essential for their own security.
They already give Ukraine €40bn in financial and military help. Ukraine would need another €20bn or so to fill the US gap – not that tall an order.
Destruction in Kyiv following a Russian airstrike. Pic: Telegram
A large-scale Russian missile and drone attack hit Kyiv overnight. Pic: Reuters
And they are beefing up their defence industries to do more to give Ukraine what it needs to fight Russia.
Ukraine’s defence increasingly depends on a homegrown drone industry, which doesn’t rely on American backing.
But Ukraine does need US intelligence, aerial defence support and satellite coverage provided by Starlink.
Were they to lose all that, they could be in trouble.
What exactly Trump does if and, as seems increasingly likely, when his deal fails, he is not making clear.
But what seems certain is America is caring less and less for Ukraine’s plight under this president.
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That poses some urgent and pressing questions for Europe.
Its leaders have always said they will support Ukraine “whatever it takes, as long as it takes”.
Do they have the political will and unity to do that, even without America by their side?
